Eredivisie predictions: our chance vs the bookie's
Sidefoot compares our own chance for every Eredivisie match with the chance in the bookmaker's odds. This week we cover 9 fixtures; 15 Eredivisie picks are in our public record.
This week's Eredivisie fixtures
| Kick-off · Match | Our chance H / D / A | Bookie's chance H / D / A | Biggest edge |
|---|---|---|---|
Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 GO Ahead Eagles v Telstar | 50% / 24% / 26% | 60% / 23% / 17% | Away +9% |
Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 Utrecht v PEC Zwolle | 66% / 17% / 17% | 59% / 22% / 20% | Home +7% |
Sat 24 Oct, 17:45 Willem II v Cambuur | 38% / 26% / 36% | 38% / 26% / 37% | Draw +1% |
Sat 24 Oct, 20:00 ADO Den Haag v Heerenveen | 28% / 22% / 50% | 30% / 25% / 45% | Away +5% |
Sun 25 Oct, 11:15 Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior | 47% / 23% / 30% | 39% / 26% / 35% | Home +8% |
Sun 25 Oct, 13:30 NEC Nijmegen v Groningen | 37% / 26% / 38% | 41% / 24% / 35% | Away +3% |
Sun 25 Oct, 13:30 PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord | 49% / 22% / 29% | 48% / 22% / 30% | Home +1% |
Sun 25 Oct, 15:45 Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax | 13% / 16% / 71% | 18% / 20% / 62% | Away +9% |
Sun 25 Oct, 19:00 AZ Alkmaar v Twente | 59% / 18% / 22% | 44% / 25% / 31% | Home +16% ⚠ Check news |
Our Eredivisie record
- Settled picks
- 15
- Counted picks won
- 9 of 14
- Not counted
- 1
- Twente 1–2 Utrecht18 Oct · Pick: Away win @ 7.50 · not countedWon
- Cambuur 1–4 Twente30 Aug · Pick: Home win @ 6.46Lost
- Telstar 0–4 Ajax30 Aug · Pick: Away win @ 2.00Won
- Utrecht 1–6 PSV Eindhoven30 Aug · Pick: Away win @ 2.22Won
- PEC Zwolle 1–3 NEC Nijmegen29 Aug · Pick: Home win @ 4.43Lost
- AZ Alkmaar 5–2 GO Ahead Eagles29 Aug · Pick: Home win @ 1.62Won
- PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Groningen23 Aug · Pick: Home win @ 1.35Won
- Heerenveen 0–2 PEC Zwolle22 Aug · Pick: Away win @ 5.05Won
- Fortuna Sittard 0–2 AZ Alkmaar22 Aug · Pick: Away win @ 1.67Won
- Heerenveen 1–0 Twente9 Aug · Pick: Away win @ 2.16Lost
Early results are positive but the sample is far too small to mean anything. Past results don't predict future ones.
See every pick in the full record →How we model Eredivisie matches
Every Eredivisie club has an Elo rating that moves with each result and the margin of victory. We adjust it for expected goals (xG) and for team news such as injuries and suspensions. Our final chance blends 60% of that model with 40% of the bookmaker's own price, so we only flag games where the gap is real. How it works
Questions
Are these Eredivisie tips?
No. Sidefoot is a research tool; it shows where our chance and the bookmaker's differ.
How often are the picks right?
9 of 14 counted Eredivisie picks have won so far. Every pick, losses included, is in our public record at https://playsidefoot.app/record.
When is this page updated?
When odds and line-ups change before kick-off.
18+ · BeGambleAware.org · Research tool, not betting advice
Last updated Mon 19 Oct, 19:13 (UK time)