Predicted Eredivisie table 2026/27
We played the rest of the Eredivisie season 5,000 times. Each of the 225 remaining matches uses our own chance of a home win, draw or away win, starting from the real table after 81 matches. This is a forecast, not a promise: one bad month can change it.
| # | Club | Now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Down |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ajax | 18 | 77 | 43% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 23 | 74 | 28% | 98% | 0% |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 19 | 74 | 21% | 99% | 0% |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 20 | 71 | 8% | 95% | 0% |
| 5 | Twente | 17 | 55 | <1% | 6% | 0% |
| 6 | Utrecht | 11 | 49 | 0% | 1% | <1% |
| 7 | Groningen | 14 | 49 | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 15 | 48 | 0% | 1% | <1% |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 12 | 46 | 0% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 | Excelsior | 11 | 40 | 0% | <1% | 2% |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 40 | 0% | <1% | 2% |
| 12 | GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 39 | 0% | <1% | 3% |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen | 10 | 37 | 0% | <1% | 5% |
| 14 | Telstar | 6 | 36 | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 33 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 16 | Cambuur | 9 | 33 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 6 | 27 | 0% | 0% | 61% |
| 18 | Willem II | 2 | 23 | 0% | 0% | 83% |
Now = points today. Pred. pts = average final points across all simulations. Down = chance of finishing in the bottom 2 (automatic relegation places).
How the simulation works
Each match uses the same chances you see on the Eredivisie predictions page: Elo ratings adjusted for xG and team news, blended with the bookmaker's price where we have one. Results are drawn at random from those chances, the season is totted up, and we count how often each club ends up where. How it works
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Last updated Mon 19 Oct, 19:14 (UK time)