Predicted Ligue 1 table 2026/27
We played the rest of the Ligue 1 season 5,000 times. Each of the 243 remaining matches uses our own chance of a home win, draw or away win, starting from the real table after 63 matches. This is a forecast, not a promise: one bad month can change it.
| # | Club | Now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Down |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 14 | 76 | 71% | 99% | 0% |
| 2 | Monaco | 14 | 69 | 15% | 91% | 0% |
| 3 | Lyon | 14 | 65 | 9% | 82% | 0% |
| 4 | Lille | 14 | 64 | 5% | 73% | 0% |
| 5 | Rennes | 13 | 58 | 1% | 33% | 0% |
| 6 | Paris FC | 14 | 53 | <1% | 12% | <1% |
| 7 | Marseille | 9 | 49 | 0% | 4% | 1% |
| 8 | Lens | 10 | 49 | 0% | 4% | 1% |
| 9 | Toulouse | 9 | 45 | 0% | 1% | 2% |
| 10 | Strasbourg | 7 | 44 | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| 11 | Nice | 8 | 43 | 0% | <1% | 5% |
| 12 | Lorient | 11 | 42 | 0% | <1% | 5% |
| 13 | Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 39 | 0% | <1% | 11% |
| 14 | Le Mans | 6 | 38 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 15 | Auxerre | 9 | 35 | 0% | 0% | 32% |
| 16 | Angers | 7 | 31 | 0% | 0% | 62% |
| 17 | Le Havre | 2 | 28 | 0% | 0% | 75% |
| 18 | Estac Troyes | 4 | 26 | 0% | 0% | 85% |
Now = points today. Pred. pts = average final points across all simulations. Down = chance of finishing in the bottom 3 (automatic relegation places).
How the simulation works
Each match uses the same chances you see on the Ligue 1 predictions page: Elo ratings adjusted for xG and team news, blended with the bookmaker's price where we have one. Results are drawn at random from those chances, the season is totted up, and we count how often each club ends up where. How it works
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Last updated Mon 19 Oct, 19:13 (UK time)