Predicted Premier League table 2026/27
We played the rest of the Premier League season 5,000 times. Each of the 311 remaining matches uses our own chance of a home win, draw or away win, starting from the real table after 69 matches. This is a forecast, not a promise: one bad month can change it.
| # | Club | Now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Down |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 21 | 92 | 94% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | Arsenal | 18 | 75 | 4% | 90% | 0% |
| 3 | Liverpool | 12 | 73 | 2% | 81% | 0% |
| 4 | Brighton | 16 | 69 | 1% | 67% | 0% |
| 5 | Chelsea | 13 | 64 | <1% | 34% | <1% |
| 6 | Manchester United | 7 | 60 | <1% | 15% | <1% |
| 7 | Leeds | 10 | 55 | 0% | 4% | 1% |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 8 | 54 | 0% | 3% | 1% |
| 9 | Brentford | 10 | 53 | 0% | 3% | 1% |
| 10 | Tottenham | 3 | 49 | 0% | <1% | 6% |
| 11 | Everton | 10 | 48 | 0% | <1% | 5% |
| 12 | Hull City | 9 | 48 | 0% | <1% | 5% |
| 13 | Ipswich | 9 | 46 | 0% | <1% | 8% |
| 14 | Newcastle | 8 | 43 | 0% | <1% | 15% |
| 15 | Coventry | 6 | 42 | 0% | <1% | 21% |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 41 | 0% | 0% | 30% |
| 17 | Sunderland | 4 | 39 | 0% | <1% | 40% |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 6 | 38 | 0% | 0% | 40% |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 35 | 0% | 0% | 58% |
| 20 | Fulham | 5 | 32 | 0% | 0% | 71% |
Now = points today. Pred. pts = average final points across all simulations. Down = chance of finishing in the bottom 3 (automatic relegation places).
How the simulation works
Each match uses the same chances you see on the Premier League predictions page: Elo ratings adjusted for xG and team news, blended with the bookmaker's price where we have one. Results are drawn at random from those chances, the season is totted up, and we count how often each club ends up where. How it works
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Last updated Mon 19 Oct, 19:13 (UK time)